Sunday 22 January 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
57%
27%
16%
Home win
56.8%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
16.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Crotone | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.9% | 9.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.2% | 12.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| No | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Genoa / Crotone | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.9
|
6.7
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.3
|
12.2
|
4.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
9.0
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.5
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.5
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2021
Crotone
0-3
Genoa
Sep 2020
Genoa
4-1
Crotone
Apr 2018
Genoa
1-0
Crotone
Nov 2017
Crotone
0-1
Genoa
Aug 2016
Crotone
1-3
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.