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Sunday 22 January 2017, 16:00 Luigi Ferraris Full time
2–2
HT 1–0
57% 27% 16%
Home win
56.8%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
16.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa 56.8% 1.76
Draw 26.7% 3.74
Crotone 16.5% 6.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.17
Over 1.5 67.2% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.8% 3.05
Over 2.5 39.9% 2.51
Under 2.5 60.1% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.7% 5.08
Under 3.5 80.3% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.2% 12.25
Under 4.5 91.8% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.3% 2.42
No 58.7% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa / Draw 83.5% 1.20
Genoa / Crotone 73.3% 1.37
Draw / Crotone 43.2% 2.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
6.7
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
15.3
12.2
4.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.4
9.0
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
6.5
4.7
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.5
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Genoa goals. Columns: Crotone goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.