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Saturday 10 December 2016, 19:00 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
40% 30% 30%
Home win
39.9%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
30.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 39.9% 2.51
Draw 29.7% 3.37
Pescara 30.4% 3.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.37
Over 1.5 68.0% 1.47
Under 1.5 32.0% 3.13
Over 2.5 40.8% 2.45
Under 2.5 59.2% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.4% 4.91
Under 3.5 79.6% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.5% 11.71
Under 4.5 91.5% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.5% 2.11
No 52.5% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 69.6% 1.44
Crotone / Pescara 70.3% 1.42
Draw / Pescara 60.1% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
9.7
5.6
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
11.6
13.9
7.0
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
7.8
8.2
4.4
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
3.2
3.4
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Pescara goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.