Sunday 6 November 2016, 19:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
60%
23%
17%
Home win
60.0%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
16.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Crotone | 16.7% | 6.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.5% | 6.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Inter / Crotone | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
5.0
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
11.2
|
4.7
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
9.8
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.9
|
6.1
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.2
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Crotone
0-2
Inter
Jan 2021
Inter
6-2
Crotone
Feb 2018
Inter
1-1
Crotone
Sep 2017
Crotone
0-2
Inter
Apr 2017
Crotone
2-1
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.