Sunday 16 October 2016, 16:00
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
80%
13%
8%
Home win
79.7%
Draw
12.7%
Away win
7.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.7% | 7.89 | — | — |
| Crotone | 7.6% | 13.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.9% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.1% | 47.82 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.3% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.7% | 11.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Crotone | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.1
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.2
|
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
8.0
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.8
|
8.2
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
6.8
|
6.4
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.2
|
3.9
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Crotone
1-2
Sassuolo
Oct 2020
Sassuolo
4-1
Crotone
Apr 2018
Crotone
4-1
Sassuolo
Dec 2017
Sassuolo
2-1
Crotone
Mar 2017
Crotone
0-0
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.