Monday 26 September 2016, 20:00
Stadio Ezio Scida
Full time
41%
22%
37%
Home win
41.1%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
36.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.4% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.6% | 37.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.0% | 10.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| No | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone / Draw | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Crotone / Atalanta | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.6
|
3.5
|
3.7
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
3.8
|
8.4
|
7.4
|
4.6
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
4.2
|
7.8
|
7.3
|
4.5
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
5.1
|
4.8
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
2.5
|
2.4
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Atalanta
5-1
Crotone
Oct 2020
Crotone
1-2
Atalanta
Feb 2018
Crotone
1-1
Atalanta
Sep 2017
Atalanta
5-1
Crotone
Feb 2017
Atalanta
1-0
Crotone
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.