Wednesday 20 September 2017, 21:45
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
64%
24%
12%
Home win
64.2%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
11.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Crotone | 11.5% | 8.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.9% | 9.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.1% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.6% | 5.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.1% | 12.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| No | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Crotone | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.9
|
5.3
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.9
|
10.7
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.8
|
8.5
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.4
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Atalanta
5-1
Crotone
Oct 2020
Crotone
1-2
Atalanta
Feb 2018
Crotone
1-1
Atalanta
Feb 2017
Atalanta
1-0
Crotone
Sep 2016
Crotone
1-3
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.