Saturday 27 May 2017, 19:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
65%
21%
13%
Home win
65.5%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
13.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.1% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Chievo | 13.4% | 7.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.7% | 5.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 86.6% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Chievo | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
4.0
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.9
|
10.0
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.8
|
9.8
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.1
|
6.7
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.2
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Atalanta
1-1
Chievo
Oct 2018
Chievo
1-5
Atalanta
Feb 2018
Atalanta
1-0
Chievo
Sep 2017
Chievo
1-1
Atalanta
Jan 2017
Chievo
1-4
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.