Saturday 20 May 2017, 19:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
14%
21%
65%
Home win
13.9%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
65.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 13.9% | 7.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.0% | 5.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.8% | 5.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| No | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Chievo / AS Roma | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
10.3
|
11.4
|
7.9
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
| 1 |
3.9
|
10.0
|
9.8
|
6.9
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
| 2 |
1.9
|
4.1
|
4.3
|
3.0
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Chievo
0-3
AS Roma
Sep 2018
AS Roma
2-2
Chievo
Apr 2018
AS Roma
4-1
Chievo
Dec 2017
Chievo
0-0
AS Roma
Dec 2016
AS Roma
3-1
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.