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Sunday 14 May 2017, 21:45 Stadio Olimpico Full time
3–1
HT 1–1
38% 29% 33%
Home win
37.6%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
33.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma 37.6% 2.66
Draw 29.3% 3.41
Juventus 33.1% 3.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.0% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.0% 9.98
Over 1.5 69.5% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.5% 3.28
Over 2.5 42.6% 2.35
Under 2.5 57.4% 1.74
Over 3.5 21.8% 4.60
Under 3.5 78.2% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.4% 10.68
Under 4.5 90.6% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.2% 2.03
No 50.8% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AS Roma / Draw 66.9% 1.49
AS Roma / Juventus 70.7% 1.41
Draw / Juventus 62.4% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.0
9.8
6.1
2.3
0.7
0.2
1
10.6
13.9
7.5
2.9
0.8
0.2
2
7.1
8.1
4.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
2.9
3.3
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.9
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AS Roma goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.