Sunday 7 May 2017, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
28%
27%
45%
Home win
27.9%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
44.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.3% | 8.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| AC Milan / AS Roma | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
10.2
|
8.1
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
13.0
|
9.1
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.7
|
6.9
|
5.1
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
2.6
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
AS Roma
1-1
AC Milan
Nov 2025
AC Milan
1-0
AS Roma
May 2025
AS Roma
3-1
AC Milan
Dec 2024
AC Milan
1-1
AS Roma
Jan 2024
AC Milan
3-1
AS Roma
Sep 2023
AS Roma
1-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.