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Sunday 9 April 2017, 16:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
0–3
HT 0–2
15% 24% 61%
Home win
15.0%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
60.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 15.0% 6.66
Draw 24.1% 4.14
AS Roma 60.8% 1.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.68
Over 1.5 72.6% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.4% 3.65
Over 2.5 46.5% 2.15
Under 2.5 53.5% 1.87
Over 3.5 25.0% 4.00
Under 3.5 75.0% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.4% 8.80
Under 4.5 88.6% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.9% 2.23
No 55.1% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 39.2% 2.55
Bologna / AS Roma 75.9% 1.32
Draw / AS Roma 85.0% 1.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
13.4
12.5
7.4
3.3
1.2
1
5.4
11.4
9.5
5.6
2.5
0.9
2
2.3
4.1
3.6
2.1
0.9
0.3
3
0.6
1.0
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.