Saturday 4 March 2017, 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
54%
23%
23%
Home win
54.1%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
23.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.5% | 4.44 | — | — |
| Napoli | 23.3% | 4.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.1% | 6.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| No | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Napoli | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
4.1
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.8
|
10.1
|
6.1
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
9.6
|
6.2
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.1
|
6.5
|
4.2
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
3.3
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Napoli
2-2
AS Roma
Nov 2025
AS Roma
0-1
Napoli
Feb 2025
AS Roma
1-1
Napoli
Nov 2024
Napoli
1-0
AS Roma
Apr 2024
Napoli
2-2
AS Roma
Dec 2023
AS Roma
2-0
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.