Sunday 29 January 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
21%
28%
51%
Home win
21.2%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
50.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 21.2% | 4.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.7% | 9.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.2% | 4.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.5% | 11.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / AS Roma | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.7
|
13.7
|
10.5
|
5.1
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
13.1
|
9.0
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
3.6
|
5.3
|
3.8
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
1.5
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
AS Roma
3-0
Sampdoria
Oct 2022
Sampdoria
0-1
AS Roma
Apr 2022
Sampdoria
0-1
AS Roma
Dec 2021
AS Roma
1-1
Sampdoria
May 2021
Sampdoria
2-0
AS Roma
Jan 2021
AS Roma
1-0
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.