Sunday 22 January 2017, 19:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
58%
25%
18%
Home win
57.8%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
17.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 17.6% | 5.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.6% | 3.90 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.9% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 7.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Sampdoria | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
5.6
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.1
|
11.7
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
9.7
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2023
Atalanta
2-0
Sampdoria
Aug 2022
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta
Feb 2022
Atalanta
4-0
Sampdoria
Oct 2021
Sampdoria
1-3
Atalanta
Feb 2021
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta
Oct 2020
Atalanta
1-3
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.