Saturday 17 December 2016, 19:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
47%
25%
28%
Home win
47.0%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
27.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.2% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.9% | 5.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Atalanta | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
6.1
|
4.2
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.5
|
12.0
|
7.0
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
9.4
|
5.8
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
5.3
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AC Milan
2-3
Atalanta
Oct 2025
Atalanta
1-1
AC Milan
Apr 2025
AC Milan
0-1
Atalanta
Dec 2024
Atalanta
2-1
AC Milan
Feb 2024
AC Milan
1-1
Atalanta
Dec 2023
Atalanta
3-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.