Sunday 6 November 2016, 16:00
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
38%
27%
35%
Home win
37.7%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
35.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.2% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.8% | 6.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Atalanta | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
7.8
|
5.8
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.1
|
12.7
|
8.2
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.2
|
8.5
|
5.8
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
4.0
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Sassuolo
2-1
Atalanta
Nov 2025
Atalanta
0-3
Sassuolo
Feb 2024
Atalanta
3-0
Sassuolo
Aug 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Atalanta
Feb 2023
Sassuolo
1-0
Atalanta
Oct 2022
Atalanta
2-1
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.