Sunday 2 October 2016, 16:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
16%
17%
66%
Home win
16.5%
Draw
17.2%
Away win
66.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.2% | 5.83 | — | — |
| Napoli | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.9% | 52.11 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.7% | 13.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 78.4% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 21.6% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 40.2% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| No | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Napoli | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.9
|
4.0
|
6.0
|
5.6
|
3.9
|
2.2
|
| 1 |
1.8
|
6.3
|
8.3
|
7.7
|
5.4
|
3.0
|
| 2 |
1.5
|
4.1
|
5.7
|
5.3
|
3.7
|
2.1
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.9
|
2.6
|
2.5
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Atalanta
2-1
Napoli
Nov 2025
Napoli
3-1
Atalanta
Jan 2025
Atalanta
2-3
Napoli
Nov 2024
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta
Mar 2024
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta
Nov 2023
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.