Saturday 10 September 2016, 21:45
Renzo Barbera
Full time
17%
12%
71%
Home win
16.8%
Draw
12.2%
Away win
71.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | 16.8% | 5.96 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.2% | 8.20 | — | — |
| Napoli | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.8% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.2% | 526.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 99.2% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 0.8% | 120.34 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.6% | 28.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 9.6% | 10.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 19.7% | 5.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| No | 10.2% | 9.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo / Draw | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Palermo / Napoli | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
1.1
|
1.6
|
1.8
|
1.5
|
| 1 |
0.2
|
1.3
|
2.7
|
3.9
|
4.2
|
3.7
|
| 2 |
0.3
|
1.5
|
3.2
|
4.6
|
5.1
|
4.4
|
| 3 |
0.3
|
1.2
|
2.6
|
3.7
|
4.0
|
3.5
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.7
|
1.5
|
2.2
|
2.4
|
2.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.7
|
1.1
|
1.2
|
1.0
|