Saturday 27 August 2016, 21:45
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
36%
53%
11%
Home win
36.1%
Draw
53.0%
Away win
10.9%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 10.9% | 9.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 17.9% | 5.58 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 4.1% | 24.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.8% | 132.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 99.2% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.1% | 900.90 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 99.9% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8.2% | 12.26 | — | — |
| No | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Napoli / AC Milan | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
47.2
|
9.2
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
25.6
|
5.6
|
0.5
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
1.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Napoli
1-0
AC Milan
Sep 2025
AC Milan
2-1
Napoli
Mar 2025
Napoli
2-1
AC Milan
Oct 2024
AC Milan
0-2
Napoli
Feb 2024
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Oct 2023
Napoli
2-2
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.