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Sunday 29 January 2017, 21:45 Stadio San Paolo Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
84% 11% 5%
Home win
84.1%
Draw
10.8%
Away win
5.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli 84.1% 1.19
Draw 10.8% 9.22
Palermo 5.1% 19.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.7% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.3% 42.66
Over 1.5 90.2% 1.11
Under 1.5 9.8% 10.23
Over 2.5 74.4% 1.34
Under 2.5 25.6% 3.91
Over 3.5 54.3% 1.84
Under 3.5 45.7% 2.19
Over 4.5 34.8% 2.87
Under 4.5 65.2% 1.53

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.7% 2.01
No 50.3% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli / Draw 94.9% 1.05
Napoli / Palermo 89.2% 1.12
Draw / Palermo 15.9% 6.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.3
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
6.2
5.0
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
10.3
7.5
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
10.8
7.8
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
8.5
6.2
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
5.4
3.9
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Napoli goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.