Thursday 22 December 2016, 21:45
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
33%
26%
42%
Home win
32.7%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
41.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Napoli | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.5% | 5.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.1% | 5.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| No | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Napoli | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
7.4
|
6.4
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
11.9
|
8.9
|
4.7
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
7.8
|
6.2
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
3.6
|
2.9
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.2
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Napoli
2-1
Fiorentina
Sep 2025
Fiorentina
1-3
Napoli
Mar 2025
Napoli
2-1
Fiorentina
Jan 2025
Fiorentina
0-3
Napoli
May 2024
Fiorentina
2-2
Napoli
Oct 2023
Napoli
1-3
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.