Monday 28 November 2016, 22:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
33%
30%
37%
Home win
33.3%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
36.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.9% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.8% | 9.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.2% | 4.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.5% | 11.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Inter / Fiorentina | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.8
|
11.0
|
7.0
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
14.0
|
7.9
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.2
|
7.4
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.8
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Fiorentina
1-1
Inter
Oct 2025
Inter
3-0
Fiorentina
Feb 2025
Inter
2-1
Fiorentina
Feb 2025
Fiorentina
3-0
Inter
Jan 2024
Fiorentina
0-1
Inter
Sep 2023
Inter
4-0
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.