Sunday 6 November 2016, 19:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
57%
26%
17%
Home win
57.3%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
16.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.0% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 16.7% | 6.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.9% | 10.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.4% | 10.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.4% | 2.31 | — | — |
| No | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Sampdoria | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.9
|
6.3
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.3
|
12.1
|
4.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
9.2
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
Fiorentina
5-0
Sampdoria
Nov 2022
Sampdoria
0-2
Fiorentina
May 2022
Sampdoria
4-1
Fiorentina
Nov 2021
Fiorentina
3-1
Sampdoria
Feb 2021
Sampdoria
2-1
Fiorentina
Oct 2020
Fiorentina
1-2
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.