Sunday 30 October 2016, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
38%
27%
35%
Home win
38.1%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
34.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Inter | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Inter | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Inter | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
7.9
|
5.8
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
12.9
|
8.1
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
8.5
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
4.0
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Sampdoria
0-0
Inter
Oct 2022
Inter
3-0
Sampdoria
May 2022
Inter
3-0
Sampdoria
Sep 2021
Sampdoria
2-2
Inter
May 2021
Inter
5-1
Sampdoria
Jan 2021
Sampdoria
2-1
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.