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Sunday 25 September 2016, 16:00 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
76% 15% 9%
Home win
75.7%
Draw
14.9%
Away win
9.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 75.7% 1.32
Draw 14.9% 6.72
Bologna 9.5% 10.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.3% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.7% 36.44
Over 1.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.9% 9.20
Over 2.5 72.2% 1.39
Under 2.5 27.8% 3.59
Over 3.5 51.5% 1.94
Under 3.5 48.5% 2.06
Over 4.5 32.1% 3.12
Under 4.5 67.9% 1.47

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.5% 1.74
No 42.5% 2.36

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 90.5% 1.10
Inter / Bologna 85.1% 1.17
Draw / Bologna 24.3% 4.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.7
1.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
6.3
6.6
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
9.3
8.7
4.1
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
8.7
8.2
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
6.1
5.7
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
5
3.4
3.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.