Wednesday 21 September 2016, 21:45
Carlo Castellani
Full time
35%
32%
33%
Home win
34.8%
Draw
32.1%
Away win
33.1%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.1% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Inter | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.9% | 7.22 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.0% | 6.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.6% | 17.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Empoli / Inter | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Inter | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.9
|
12.3
|
6.6
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.7
|
14.3
|
6.8
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
7.0
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Inter
3-1
Empoli
Oct 2024
Empoli
0-3
Inter
Apr 2024
Inter
2-0
Empoli
Sep 2023
Empoli
0-1
Inter
Apr 2023
Empoli
0-3
Inter
Jan 2023
Inter
0-1
Empoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.