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Sunday 18 September 2016, 16:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
73% 22% 5%
Home win
73.2%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
5.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 73.2% 1.37
Draw 21.6% 4.63
Empoli 5.2% 19.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.3% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.7% 7.30
Over 1.5 60.3% 1.66
Under 1.5 39.7% 2.52
Over 2.5 32.8% 3.05
Under 2.5 67.2% 1.49
Over 3.5 14.6% 6.85
Under 3.5 85.4% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.4% 18.45
Under 4.5 94.6% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 21.0% 4.77
No 79.0% 1.27

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 94.8% 1.05
Torino / Empoli 78.4% 1.28
Draw / Empoli 26.8% 3.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.7
3.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
22.6
7.0
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
19.9
5.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
11.5
3.3
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
5.0
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Empoli goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.