Monday 12 September 2016, 21:45
Carlo Castellani
Full time
7%
8%
85%
Home win
7.4%
Draw
7.7%
Away win
84.9%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 7.4% | 13.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 7.7% | 12.94 | — | — |
| Crotone | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.9% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.1% | 684.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 99.3% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 0.7% | 145.99 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.0% | 33.30 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 8.3% | 12.07 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 17.5% | 5.70 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| No | 15.5% | 6.46 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 15.1% | 6.62 | — | — |
| Empoli / Crotone | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Draw / Crotone | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.1
|
0.4
|
1.2
|
2.0
|
2.6
|
2.7
|
| 1 |
0.1
|
0.9
|
2.3
|
3.9
|
5.0
|
5.1
|
| 2 |
0.2
|
0.8
|
2.2
|
3.7
|
4.7
|
4.8
|
| 3 |
0.1
|
0.5
|
1.4
|
2.3
|
3.0
|
3.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.6
|
1.1
|
1.4
|
1.4
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.5
|