Sunday 28 August 2016, 21:45
Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia
Full time
16%
73%
10%
Home win
16.5%
Draw
73.1%
Away win
10.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Genoa | 10.4% | 9.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 4.9% | 20.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 0.5% | 189.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 99.5% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.0% | 2,222.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.0% | 33,333.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.5% | 39.60 | — | — |
| No | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone / Draw | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Crotone / Genoa | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
70.9
|
9.6
|
0.7
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.6
|
2.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2021
Crotone
0-3
Genoa
Sep 2020
Genoa
4-1
Crotone
Apr 2018
Genoa
1-0
Crotone
Nov 2017
Crotone
0-1
Genoa
Jan 2017
Genoa
2-2
Crotone
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.