Sunday 19 November 2017, 13:30
Stadio Ezio Scida
Full time
39%
31%
30%
Home win
39.2%
Draw
31.1%
Away win
29.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Genoa | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.6% | 7.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.9% | 5.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.6% | 15.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crotone / Draw | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Crotone / Genoa | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.6
|
10.7
|
5.6
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.9
|
14.2
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
7.8
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
3.0
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2021
Crotone
0-3
Genoa
Sep 2020
Genoa
4-1
Crotone
Apr 2018
Genoa
1-0
Crotone
Jan 2017
Genoa
2-2
Crotone
Aug 2016
Crotone
1-3
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.