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Sunday 29 October 2017, 16:00 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
2–1
HT 2–1
22% 26% 52%
Home win
21.9%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
51.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 21.9% 4.56
Draw 26.4% 3.78
Fiorentina 51.7% 1.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.84
Over 1.5 73.2% 1.37
Under 1.5 26.8% 3.73
Over 2.5 47.1% 2.12
Under 2.5 52.9% 1.89
Over 3.5 25.5% 3.92
Under 3.5 74.5% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.7% 8.55
Under 4.5 88.3% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.9% 2.00
No 50.1% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 48.3% 2.07
Crotone / Fiorentina 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Fiorentina 78.1% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
11.7
9.9
5.3
2.1
0.7
1
6.7
12.6
9.5
5.1
2.0
0.7
2
3.6
5.7
4.6
2.4
1.0
0.3
3
1.1
1.8
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Fiorentina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.