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Sunday 22 October 2017, 16:00 Stadio Ciro Vigorito Full time
13% 22% 66%
Home win
12.7%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
65.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento 12.7% 7.90
Draw 21.8% 4.59
Fiorentina 65.5% 1.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.69
Over 1.5 75.7% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.3% 4.12
Over 2.5 50.6% 1.97
Under 2.5 49.4% 2.03
Over 3.5 28.6% 3.50
Under 3.5 71.4% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.7% 7.29
Under 4.5 86.3% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.5% 2.20
No 54.5% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento / Draw 34.5% 2.90
Benevento / Fiorentina 78.2% 1.28
Draw / Fiorentina 87.3% 1.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
12.6
12.9
8.4
4.1
1.6
1
4.4
10.3
9.6
6.2
3.1
1.2
2
1.8
3.6
3.5
2.3
1.1
0.4
3
0.5
0.9
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Benevento goals. Columns: Fiorentina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.