Sunday 24 September 2017, 21:45
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
36%
26%
38%
Home win
35.6%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
38.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.1% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.1% | 5.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Atalanta | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
7.4
|
6.0
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
12.2
|
8.6
|
4.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.5
|
8.2
|
6.1
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
3.9
|
2.9
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Fiorentina
1-1
Atalanta
Nov 2025
Atalanta
2-0
Fiorentina
Mar 2025
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Sep 2024
Atalanta
3-2
Fiorentina
Jun 2024
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Sep 2023
Fiorentina
3-2
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.