Sunday 20 August 2017, 21:45
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
57%
21%
22%
Home win
56.9%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
21.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 21.8% | 4.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.9% | 7.73 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
| No | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter / Draw | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Inter / Fiorentina | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
3.4
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.0
|
9.1
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
9.5
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
6.9
|
4.6
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
3.8
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.7
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Fiorentina
1-1
Inter
Oct 2025
Inter
3-0
Fiorentina
Feb 2025
Inter
2-1
Fiorentina
Feb 2025
Fiorentina
3-0
Inter
Jan 2024
Fiorentina
0-1
Inter
Sep 2023
Inter
4-0
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.