Skip to content
Sunday 30 April 2017, 16:00 Renzo Barbera Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
17% 21% 62%
Home win
16.9%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
61.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 16.9% 5.90
Draw 21.2% 4.71
Fiorentina 61.8% 1.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.94
Over 1.5 83.0% 1.20
Under 1.5 17.0% 5.88
Over 2.5 61.3% 1.63
Under 2.5 38.7% 2.58
Over 3.5 39.0% 2.56
Under 3.5 61.0% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.3% 4.69
Under 4.5 78.7% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.4% 1.74
No 42.6% 2.35

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 38.2% 2.62
Palermo / Fiorentina 78.8% 1.27
Draw / Fiorentina 83.1% 1.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
8.4
9.6
6.8
3.6
1.5
1
3.8
9.9
9.9
7.0
3.7
1.6
2
2.3
4.8
5.1
3.6
1.9
0.8
3
0.8
1.7
1.8
1.3
0.7
0.3
4
0.2
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: Fiorentina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.