Skip to content
Sunday 2 April 2017, 16:00 Renzo Barbera Full time
1–3
HT 1–0
34% 26% 40%
Home win
34.4%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
39.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 34.4% 2.91
Draw 25.6% 3.90
Cagliari 39.9% 2.50

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.55
Over 1.5 80.6% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.4% 5.16
Over 2.5 57.5% 1.74
Under 2.5 42.5% 2.35
Over 3.5 35.1% 2.85
Under 3.5 64.9% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.3% 5.46
Under 4.5 81.7% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.8% 1.65
No 39.2% 2.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 60.1% 1.67
Palermo / Cagliari 74.4% 1.34
Draw / Cagliari 65.6% 1.52

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
7.2
6.1
3.2
1.2
0.4
1
6.5
11.9
8.7
4.5
1.8
0.6
2
5.2
8.0
6.3
3.3
1.3
0.4
3
2.5
3.8
3.0
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
0.9
1.4
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: Cagliari goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.