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Sunday 5 March 2017, 16:00 Sant'Elia Full time
1–5
HT 1–2
25% 24% 51%
Home win
25.4%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
50.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari 25.4% 3.93
Draw 24.1% 4.15
Inter 50.5% 1.98

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.8% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.2% 19.33
Over 1.5 82.0% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.0% 5.57
Over 2.5 59.7% 1.68
Under 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Over 3.5 37.3% 2.68
Under 3.5 62.7% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.0% 4.99
Under 4.5 80.0% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.7% 1.65
No 39.3% 2.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Cagliari / Draw 49.5% 2.02
Cagliari / Inter 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Inter 74.6% 1.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.2
7.7
7.7
4.7
2.2
0.8
1
5.1
11.1
9.6
5.9
2.7
1.0
2
3.6
6.6
6.0
3.7
1.7
0.6
3
1.5
2.7
2.5
1.5
0.7
0.3
4
0.5
0.9
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Cagliari goals. Columns: Inter goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.