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Sunday 12 February 2017, 16:00 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
67% 23% 10%
Home win
66.6%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
9.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 66.6% 1.50
Draw 23.5% 4.26
Empoli 9.9% 10.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.9% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.1% 9.01
Over 1.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.7% 2.97
Over 2.5 39.1% 2.56
Under 2.5 60.9% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.1% 5.24
Under 3.5 80.9% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.80
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.8% 2.96
No 66.2% 1.51

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 90.1% 1.11
Inter / Empoli 76.5% 1.31
Draw / Empoli 33.4% 2.99

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.1
4.9
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
17.7
10.0
2.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
15.8
8.2
2.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
3
9.1
4.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
4.0
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Empoli goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.