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Sunday 5 February 2017, 21:45 Allianz Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
58% 24% 17%
Home win
58.3%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
17.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus 58.3% 1.71
Draw 24.3% 4.12
Inter 17.4% 5.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.08
Over 1.5 75.1% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.9% 4.01
Over 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.7% 3.61
Under 3.5 72.3% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.1% 7.62
Under 4.5 86.9% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.1% 2.03
No 50.9% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Juventus / Draw 82.6% 1.21
Juventus / Inter 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Inter 41.7% 2.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
5.5
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
11.8
11.6
4.8
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
11.2
9.8
4.3
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
6.7
5.8
2.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
3.0
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Juventus goals. Columns: Inter goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.