Sunday 22 January 2017, 13:30
Allianz Stadium
Full time
59%
23%
18%
Home win
59.1%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
17.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.3% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Lazio | 17.6% | 5.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.6% | 6.42 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus / Draw | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Juventus / Lazio | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
4.9
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
11.1
|
4.9
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
9.9
|
4.6
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.7
|
6.2
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
2.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Juventus
2-2
Lazio
Oct 2025
Lazio
1-0
Juventus
May 2025
Lazio
1-1
Juventus
Oct 2024
Juventus
1-0
Lazio
Mar 2024
Lazio
1-0
Juventus
Sep 2023
Juventus
3-1
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.