Sunday 18 December 2016, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
53%
25%
22%
Home win
52.8%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
22.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.22 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.6% | 6.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Lazio / Fiorentina | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
5.9
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.3
|
12.0
|
5.9
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.7
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
5.6
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Fiorentina
1-0
Lazio
Jan 2026
Lazio
2-2
Fiorentina
Jan 2025
Lazio
1-2
Fiorentina
Sep 2024
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Feb 2024
Fiorentina
2-1
Lazio
Oct 2023
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.