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Sunday 27 November 2016, 13:30 Renzo Barbera Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
16% 23% 62%
Home win
15.7%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
61.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo 15.7% 6.36
Draw 22.8% 4.39
Lazio 61.5% 1.63

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.79
Over 1.5 77.3% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.7% 4.41
Over 2.5 52.8% 1.89
Under 2.5 47.2% 2.12
Over 3.5 30.6% 3.27
Under 3.5 69.4% 1.44
Over 4.5 15.1% 6.64
Under 4.5 84.9% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.1% 1.99
No 49.9% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Palermo / Draw 38.5% 2.60
Palermo / Lazio 77.2% 1.29
Draw / Lazio 84.3% 1.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
11.2
11.4
7.3
3.5
1.3
1
4.7
10.9
9.8
6.3
3.0
1.2
2
2.3
4.4
4.3
2.7
1.3
0.5
3
0.7
1.3
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.1
4
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Palermo goals. Columns: Lazio goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.