Wednesday 26 October 2016, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
72%
15%
13%
Home win
71.9%
Draw
15.3%
Away win
12.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.3% | 6.54 | — | — |
| Cagliari | 12.8% | 7.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.8% | 56.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.2% | 13.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| No | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio / Draw | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Lazio / Cagliari | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Cagliari | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.8
|
1.5
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.0
|
5.7
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
8.1
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
6.4
|
8.0
|
5.0
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
6.0
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.8
|
3.6
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Cagliari
0-0
Lazio
Nov 2025
Lazio
2-0
Cagliari
Feb 2025
Cagliari
1-2
Lazio
Nov 2024
Lazio
2-1
Cagliari
Feb 2024
Cagliari
1-3
Lazio
Dec 2023
Lazio
1-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.