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Saturday 1 October 2016, 21:45 Dacia Arena Full time
0–3
HT 0–1
39% 25% 36%
Home win
38.6%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
36.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese 38.6% 2.59
Draw 24.9% 4.01
Lazio 36.5% 2.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.26
Over 1.5 82.8% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.2% 5.82
Over 2.5 60.9% 1.64
Under 2.5 39.1% 2.56
Over 3.5 38.6% 2.59
Under 3.5 61.4% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.0% 4.76
Under 4.5 79.0% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.5% 1.58
No 36.5% 2.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese / Draw 63.5% 1.57
Udinese / Lazio 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Lazio 61.4% 1.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
6.0
5.2
2.7
1.0
0.3
1
6.2
11.3
8.2
4.3
1.6
0.5
2
5.5
8.5
6.6
3.4
1.3
0.4
3
2.9
4.5
3.5
1.8
0.7
0.2
4
1.2
1.8
1.4
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Udinese goals. Columns: Lazio goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.