Sunday 11 September 2016, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
30%
19%
51%
Home win
30.0%
Draw
19.3%
Away win
50.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
| Lazio | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.7% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.3% | 74.63 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.4% | 18.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 16.4% | 6.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| No | 19.7% | 5.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Chievo / Lazio | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.3
|
2.3
|
3.4
|
2.9
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
| 1 |
1.7
|
5.6
|
6.8
|
5.9
|
3.8
|
2.0
|
| 2 |
2.1
|
5.3
|
6.8
|
5.9
|
3.8
|
2.0
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
3.5
|
4.6
|
3.9
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.8
|
2.3
|
2.0
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.7
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Lazio
1-2
Chievo
Dec 2018
Chievo
1-1
Lazio
Jan 2018
Lazio
5-1
Chievo
Aug 2017
Chievo
1-2
Lazio
Jan 2017
Lazio
0-1
Chievo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.