Sunday 27 August 2017, 21:45
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
27%
24%
49%
Home win
26.5%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
49.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Lazio | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.9% | 5.59 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Chievo / Lazio | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
7.6
|
7.4
|
4.5
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
5.2
|
11.2
|
9.5
|
5.8
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
3.7
|
6.8
|
6.1
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
2.9
|
2.6
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Lazio
1-2
Chievo
Dec 2018
Chievo
1-1
Lazio
Jan 2018
Lazio
5-1
Chievo
Jan 2017
Lazio
0-1
Chievo
Sep 2016
Chievo
1-1
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.