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Sunday 28 May 2017, 21:45 Stadio Ezio Scida Full time
3–1
HT 2–1
20% 25% 54%
Home win
20.3%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
54.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone 20.3% 4.92
Draw 25.4% 3.94
Lazio 54.3% 1.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.87
Over 1.5 74.8% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.2% 3.98
Over 2.5 49.3% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.7% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.4% 3.65
Under 3.5 72.6% 1.38
Over 4.5 12.9% 7.73
Under 4.5 87.1% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.8% 1.97
No 49.2% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crotone / Draw 45.7% 2.19
Crotone / Lazio 74.6% 1.34
Draw / Lazio 79.7% 1.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
11.3
10.2
5.8
2.5
0.8
1
6.0
12.1
9.7
5.5
2.3
0.8
2
3.2
5.4
4.6
2.6
1.1
0.4
3
1.0
1.7
1.5
0.8
0.4
0.1
4
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crotone goals. Columns: Lazio goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.