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Sunday 23 April 2017, 16:00 Stadio Olimpico Full time
6–2
HT 5–0
77% 16% 7%
Home win
76.9%
Draw
15.7%
Away win
7.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio 76.9% 1.30
Draw 15.7% 6.37
Palermo 7.4% 13.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.31
Over 1.5 82.7% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.3% 5.78
Over 2.5 61.0% 1.64
Under 2.5 39.0% 2.57
Over 3.5 38.7% 2.58
Under 3.5 61.3% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.1% 4.73
Under 4.5 78.9% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.9% 2.23
No 55.1% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio / Draw 92.6% 1.08
Lazio / Palermo 84.3% 1.19
Draw / Palermo 23.1% 4.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
2.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
10.2
7.5
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
13.2
8.8
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
11.0
7.3
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
6.8
4.5
1.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
3.4
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lazio goals. Columns: Palermo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.