Sunday 19 March 2017, 16:00
Sant'Elia
Full time
22%
22%
56%
Home win
21.8%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
56.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 21.8% | 4.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.1% | 4.53 | — | — |
| Lazio | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.1% | 24.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.0% | 6.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| No | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Lazio | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.1
|
6.9
|
7.8
|
5.4
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
3.9
|
9.9
|
9.7
|
6.7
|
3.5
|
1.5
|
| 2 |
2.8
|
5.8
|
6.0
|
4.2
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.4
|
2.5
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Cagliari
0-0
Lazio
Nov 2025
Lazio
2-0
Cagliari
Feb 2025
Cagliari
1-2
Lazio
Nov 2024
Lazio
2-1
Cagliari
Feb 2024
Cagliari
1-3
Lazio
Dec 2023
Lazio
1-0
Cagliari
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.