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Sunday 26 February 2017, 16:00 Stadio Olimpico Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
60% 23% 17%
Home win
59.8%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
16.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio 59.8% 1.67
Draw 23.4% 4.28
Udinese 16.8% 5.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.46
Over 1.5 77.0% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.0% 4.34
Over 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.7% 2.10
Over 3.5 30.1% 3.32
Under 3.5 69.9% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.7% 6.79
Under 4.5 85.3% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.6% 1.98
No 49.4% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio / Draw 83.2% 1.20
Lazio / Udinese 76.6% 1.31
Draw / Udinese 40.2% 2.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
5.0
2.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
11.1
11.1
4.7
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
11.0
9.9
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
6.9
6.2
2.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
3.2
2.9
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lazio goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.